Tuesday's 3.2% GDP growth rate report is an indication of expanding economic growth in the US which increases the probability of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve in December; a continued positive trend in economic growth is also likely to lead to five interest rate increases through 2018; consumer spending appears to be the leading catalyst for current economic growth and the source cautions that it could lead to problems for the marketplace lending credit market; consumer spending has been driven by increased credit balances but as rates rise, risks from these borrowers are also likely to increase which could affect platform defaults and securitization portfolios with the greatest risks in unsecured loans. Source
The most recent report on US consumer credit shows credit card debt reaching a new high and surpassing the previous peak reached in 2008; outstanding credit card debt in June was $1.02 trillion; source discusses increased market competition in the credit card market; also notes higher default rates yet increased risk taking given the improved market environment. Source
According to data from the Bank of England, unsecured consumer credit in the UK increased to 1.9 billion British pounds ($2.34 billion) in November and reported its highest level since March 2005; experts believe UK consumers have been increasing debt to take advantage of the market's low interest rates; P2P lenders have benefited from the increased demand for debt, reporting the highest growth rate in unsecured lending over the past five years, according to a November 2016 PwC survey; in the corporate market, businesses reported lower demand for credit with bank lending to non-financial businesses down 767 billion British pounds ($945 billion) in November. Source
A quarterly report from the New York Federal Reserve says household debt has reached its highest level since 2008 at $12.58 trillion; household debt increased $226 billion in the fourth quarter of 2016; home and auto loans represent the majority of the debt; despite the increase, bankruptcies and foreclosures for the fourth quarter reached an 18-year low indicating consumers are capable of managing the added debt. Source
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